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UNO Statistician Who Predicted the 2024 Men’s CWS Champion Releases 2025 Forecast

After running 10,000 simulations, UNO Associate Professor Andrew Swift’s model predicts a champion from the SEC.

  • published: 2025/06/12
  • contact: Sam Peshek - Office of Strategic Marketing and Communications
  • email: unonews@unomaha.edu
UNO Associate Professor Andrew Swift is back with fresh Men’s College World Series predictions. Illustration: UNO Office of Strategic Marketing and Communications.

UNO Associate Professor Andrew Swift is back with fresh Men’s College World Series predictions. Illustration: UNO Office of Strategic Marketing and Communications.

After correctly predicting the 2024 Men’s College World Series (CWS) champion, a University of Nebraska at Omaha (UNO) statistician has returned with his annual Men’s College World Series predictions, and the numbers say, “Woo Pig Sooie.”


⚾️ What’s new: Andrew Swift, D.Sc., an associate professor in UNO’s Department of Mathematical & Statistical Sciences, ran 10,000 simulations of the tournament, and the Arkansas Razorbacks showed the highest probability of winning it all this year at 31%.


🔮 Crunching the numbers: Swift modeled the teams based on their regular season performance and then simulated the CWS 10,000 times. The percentage below reflects how often each team won the CWS in Swift’s 10,000 simulations (rounded to the nearest 0.5%):

  • Arkansas: 31%
  • Coastal Carolina: 18.5%
  • LSU: 15%
  • Oregon State: 13.5%
  • UCLA: 9.5%
  • Arizona: 7.5%
  • Louisville: 3.5%
  • Murray State: 1.5%

🎤 Swift on the powerful intersection of sports and math: "Each year, I look forward to using the College World Series as a way to show what mathematics and statistics can really do. Not just in theory, but in ways that connect to something people are passionate about. Sports are full of patterns, probabilities, and stories waiting to be uncovered by data. My hope is that these predictions help others see how math is a powerful tool that touches nearly every part of our lives, even the game we love.”


🔎 Zoom in:


🌎 The big picture: As co-hosts of the CWS, Swift’s highly anticipated annual predictions are just one of the many ties that UNO has with “The Greatest Show on Dirt.”

About the University of Nebraska at Omaha

The University of Nebraska at Omaha (UNO) is Nebraska’s premier metropolitan university, committed to innovating for the public good, advancing social mobility, powering workforce development, and serving as a hub for community engagement. Nearly 15,000 Mavericks choose UNO for its hands-on education experiences, nationally ranked online and graduate programs, military-connected student support, and innovative approaches to supporting lifelong learning. UNO holds the Carnegie Research Activity “R2” designation, securing more than $40 million annually in external research funding and counts its faculty among the world’s most cited scholars. Sixteen Omaha Athletics programs compete in NCAA Division I as members of the Summit League and National Collegiate Hockey Conference (NCHC). 

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